A tropical depression is likely to form in the Gulf of Mexico later this week. The National Hurricane Center has been monitoring a broad low pressure area over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico. The disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday. Formation chances over the next 48 hours are only 20%, but that increases to 70% over 5 days.
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of
Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low
pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the
next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during
that time period. However, the disturbance should begin to move
northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form
late in the week when the low moves across the central or
northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy
rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern
Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to
impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult
products from your local meteorological service for more
information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
