A tropical depression is likely to form in the Gulf of Mexico later this week. The National Hurricane Center has been monitoring a broad low pressure area over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico. The disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday. Formation chances over the next 48 hours are only 20%, but that increases to 70% over 5 days.
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period. However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.